Spyman's · fan-made tool

Pirate Token Calculator

See your real odds of the free Item Shop token.

Treasure Hours
Next Treasure Hours
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Example settings. Change them below.
0%

chance at the Pirate Shop token by Dec 5

RARETreasure Hunter
—your overall odds
—chests your squad opens
—matches you'll play

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How you play

Who are you playing with? Your squad's chests count for you too
⚙️ More settingsDays left + Treasure Hours
⏰ Treasure Hours (2-hour windows on Saturdays with boosted token odds)

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How big is the boost?

Solo vs squad

Same settings, different team size. When anyone in your squad gets the token, everyone gets it.

Chest counter

Tap after every chest you or your squad opens. It saves on this device only.

0chests opened
Already opened a bunch? Catch up:

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Every treasure reward

Every chest rolls for every reward. The token is the rarest one you can realistically hunt, but the small stuff adds up fast.

RewardOdds per chestTreasure HoursYour chance

How many chests would it take?

Chests your team needs to open for each chance, at normal odds.

Know before you hunt
  • 1 in 137,500 per chest in a normal match. That's about as likely as flipping heads 17 times in a row (1 in 131,072).
  • There's no pity timer. Every chest is a fresh roll, so 10,000 chests opened doesn't make the next one more likely.
  • Squads share it. When one player gets the token, every player in the squad gets it.
  • Treasure Hours boost the token to at least 1.5x. One event on Nov 7 hit 2x.
  • Activate it by Dec 15, 7 PM ET. Then you get the Item Shop free for 14 days. Battle Pass, gifting and real-money offers aren't included.
  • Ranked reportedly doesn't count. Play normal matches for the hunt.
How the math works

Every chest is its own roll, so the chance of never getting the token is the miss chance multiplied by itself once per chest. Your chance is 1 minus that.

chance = 1 − (1 − 1/137,500)normal chests × (1 − boost/137,500)Treasure Hours chests

  • Team chests = your chests per match × players in your party.
  • Treasure Hours matches = Treasure Hours you'll play × matches in each one. They count as part of your total matches, just boosted.
  • Normal chests = team chests × (total matches − Treasure Hours matches).
  • Treasure Hours boosts use Fortnite Status numbers: token at least 1.5x, Gold Outfit 7.5x (10x at 2x events), Vehicle & Decal 10x.
  • Odds checked Nov 11, 2026. Epic can change them anytime.